Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の青島の最低気温は？
8月21日の青島の最低気温は？
22°C 60%
21°C 44%
25°C 36%
23°C 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
44%
22°C
60%
23°C
35%
24°C
35%
25°C
36%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 44%
25°C 36%
23°C 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
19°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
20°C
$28 Vol.
1%
21°C
$98 Vol.
44%
22°C
$100 Vol.
60%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
音量
$665終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$665終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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