Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in Incheon on September 25, driven by moderate radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits mixing with warmer air aloft. Recent runs show highs near 24–25 °C with scattered showers possible midday, which can suppress the diurnal range and keep the minimum from dropping further. Historical September averages for the site hover near 18 °C at night, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C (41.5 %) and 20 °C (35.5 %). Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the tight contest between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 18 °C or below reflect the limited cooling expected under the forecast pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Incheon station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のソウル（仁川）の最低気温は？
9月25日のソウル（仁川）の最低気温は？
19°C 42%
20℃ 34%
18°C 21%
17℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
15℃以下
2%
16℃
7%
17℃
17%
18°C
21%
19°C
42%
20℃
34%
21°C
12%
22℃
9%
23℃
3%
24℃
2%
25℃以上
1%
19°C 42%
20℃ 34%
18°C 21%
17℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
16℃
$0 Vol.
7%
17℃
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$253 Vol.
21%
19°C
$366 Vol.
42%
20℃
$302 Vol.
34%
21°C
$5 Vol.
12%
22℃
$5 Vol.
9%
23℃
$0 Vol.
3%
24℃
$0 Vol.
2%
25℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in Incheon on September 25, driven by moderate radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits mixing with warmer air aloft. Recent runs show highs near 24–25 °C with scattered showers possible midday, which can suppress the diurnal range and keep the minimum from dropping further. Historical September averages for the site hover near 18 °C at night, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C (41.5 %) and 20 °C (35.5 %). Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the tight contest between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 18 °C or below reflect the limited cooling expected under the forecast pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Incheon station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$932終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in Incheon on September 25, driven by moderate radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits mixing with warmer air aloft. Recent runs show highs near 24–25 °C with scattered showers possible midday, which can suppress the diurnal range and keep the minimum from dropping further. Historical September averages for the site hover near 18 °C at night, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C (41.5 %) and 20 °C (35.5 %). Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the tight contest between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 18 °C or below reflect the limited cooling expected under the forecast pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Incheon station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$932終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in Incheon on September 25, driven by moderate radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits mixing with warmer air aloft. Recent runs show highs near 24–25 °C with scattered showers possible midday, which can suppress the diurnal range and keep the minimum from dropping further. Historical September averages for the site hover near 18 °C at night, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C (41.5 %) and 20 °C (35.5 %). Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the tight contest between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 18 °C or below reflect the limited cooling expected under the forecast pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Incheon station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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