Official forecasts and ensemble model runs from regional meteorological centers point to overnight lows of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage later in the period, keeping minimum temperatures firmly in this narrow band. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the most frequent guidance from global and regional models, while the secondary weighting on 28°C accounts for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention; resolution hinges on the official Shanghai observatory reading at midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の上海の最低気温は？
8月30日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 55%
28°C 35%
29°C 20%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
22°C or below
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
17%
26°C
15%
27°C
55%
28°C
35%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
9%
27°C 55%
28°C 35%
29°C 20%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
15%
27°C
$184 Vol.
55%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
12%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and ensemble model runs from regional meteorological centers point to overnight lows of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage later in the period, keeping minimum temperatures firmly in this narrow band. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the most frequent guidance from global and regional models, while the secondary weighting on 28°C accounts for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention; resolution hinges on the official Shanghai observatory reading at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$214終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and ensemble model runs from regional meteorological centers point to overnight lows of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage later in the period, keeping minimum temperatures firmly in this narrow band. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the most frequent guidance from global and regional models, while the secondary weighting on 28°C accounts for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention; resolution hinges on the official Shanghai observatory reading at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$214終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial forecasts and ensemble model runs from regional meteorological centers point to overnight lows of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage later in the period, keeping minimum temperatures firmly in this narrow band. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the most frequent guidance from global and regional models, while the secondary weighting on 28°C accounts for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention; resolution hinges on the official Shanghai observatory reading at midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問