Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の上海の最低気温は?
23℃ 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
21℃ <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
はい
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
23℃ 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
21℃ <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
はい
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問