Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
19℃以下 89%
29℃以上 82%
26℃ 39%
20°C 38%
19℃以下
89%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22℃
38%
23℃
35%
24℃
26%
25°C
24%
26℃
39%
27°C
38%
28℃
38%
29℃以上
82%
19℃以下 89%
29℃以上 82%
26℃ 39%
20°C 38%
19℃以下
89%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22℃
38%
23℃
35%
24℃
26%
25°C
24%
26℃
39%
27°C
38%
28℃
38%
29℃以上
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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