Current forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on September 1 will likely settle near 23–24°C, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure with light southeast winds and only scattered cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with historical early-September minima averaging around 21–23°C while reflecting the current pattern of delayed seasonal transition and above-normal upper-level temperatures. Later in the week, an approaching frontal system may bring increased clouds and rain that could modestly lower subsequent nights, but September 1 conditions appear stable enough to keep the 23–24°C range as the market’s clear focus amid modest uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の東京の最低気温は?
24°C 43%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
21°C 5%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
29%
24°C
43%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
21°C 5%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
29%
24°C
43%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on September 1 will likely settle near 23–24°C, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure with light southeast winds and only scattered cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with historical early-September minima averaging around 21–23°C while reflecting the current pattern of delayed seasonal transition and above-normal upper-level temperatures. Later in the week, an approaching frontal system may bring increased clouds and rain that could modestly lower subsequent nights, but September 1 conditions appear stable enough to keep the 23–24°C range as the market’s clear focus amid modest uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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