Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のウェリントンの最低気温は?
8°C 96%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
4°C <1%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
96%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 96%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
4°C <1%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
96%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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