Incumbent Benoît Payan commands 98.6% trader consensus as Marseille mayoral election winner, driven by his strong hold on the Printemps Marseille coalition that secured a council majority in 2020 and his effective navigation of local issues like urban renewal and security. Recent polls show him leading rivals by wide margins in the lead-up to the 2026 municipal vote, with opposition fragmented between center-right figures like Martine Vassal and emerging left challengers such as Sébastien Delogu. This lopsided pricing reflects low perceived risk of upset absent a unified right-wing surge or major scandal, though upcoming candidate announcements or coalition shifts could narrow his lead before the March 2026 first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ブノワ・パイヤン 98.5%
フランク・アリシオ 1.3%
エルワン・ダヴー <1%
セバスチャン・ドゥログ <1%
$267,691 Vol.
$267,691 Vol.
Mar 15, 2026
ブノワ・パイヤン
99%
フランク・アリシオ
1%
エルワン・ダヴー
<1%
セバスチャン・ドゥログ
<1%
マルティーヌ・ヴァサル
<1%
ブノワ・パイヤン 98.5%
フランク・アリシオ 1.3%
エルワン・ダヴー <1%
セバスチャン・ドゥログ <1%
$267,691 Vol.
$267,691 Vol.
Mar 15, 2026
ブノワ・パイヤン
$125,029 Vol.
99%
フランク・アリシオ
$91,689 Vol.
1%
エルワン・ダヴー
$0 Vol.
<1%
セバスチャン・ドゥログ
$0 Vol.
<1%
マルティーヌ・ヴァサル
$50,973 Vol.
<1%
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
音量
$267,691終了日
Mar 15, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$267,691終了日
Mar 15, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Benoît Payan commands 98.6% trader consensus as Marseille mayoral election winner, driven by his strong hold on the Printemps Marseille coalition that secured a council majority in 2020 and his effective navigation of local issues like urban renewal and security. Recent polls show him leading rivals by wide margins in the lead-up to the 2026 municipal vote, with opposition fragmented between center-right figures like Martine Vassal and emerging left challengers such as Sébastien Delogu. This lopsided pricing reflects low perceived risk of upset absent a unified right-wing surge or major scandal, though upcoming candidate announcements or coalition shifts could narrow his lead before the March 2026 first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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