Péter Magyar's landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, where his Tisza party secured a clear majority in the National Assembly, has propelled trader consensus to overwhelming odds favoring him as next prime minister, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz-led rule after the incumbent's public concession. Recent developments include Orbán's acknowledgment of defeat and Magyar's post-election pledges for cabinet formation by early May, media reforms, and EU realignment, with President Tamás Sulyok signaling cooperation on government handover. While procedural steps like parliamentary approval remain, challenges could arise from potential Fidesz legal disputes over results, no-confidence motions, or unforeseen coalition fractures, though these face steep barriers given Tisza's dominance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ペーター・マジャール 98.6%
ヴィクトル・オルバン <1%
クララ・ドブレフ <1%
ラースロー・トロチュカイ <1%
$90,533,662 Vol.
$90,533,662 Vol.

ペーター・マジャール
99%

ヴィクトル・オルバン
1%

クララ・ドブレフ
<1%

ラースロー・トロチュカイ
<1%

イシュトヴァーン・カピターニ
<1%

ヤーノシュ・ラザール
<1%
ペーター・マジャール 98.6%
ヴィクトル・オルバン <1%
クララ・ドブレフ <1%
ラースロー・トロチュカイ <1%
$90,533,662 Vol.
$90,533,662 Vol.

ペーター・マジャール
99%

ヴィクトル・オルバン
1%

クララ・ドブレフ
<1%

ラースロー・トロチュカイ
<1%

イシュトヴァーン・カピターニ
<1%

ヤーノシュ・ラザール
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Péter Magyar's landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, where his Tisza party secured a clear majority in the National Assembly, has propelled trader consensus to overwhelming odds favoring him as next prime minister, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz-led rule after the incumbent's public concession. Recent developments include Orbán's acknowledgment of defeat and Magyar's post-election pledges for cabinet formation by early May, media reforms, and EU realignment, with President Tamás Sulyok signaling cooperation on government handover. While procedural steps like parliamentary approval remain, challenges could arise from potential Fidesz legal disputes over results, no-confidence motions, or unforeseen coalition fractures, though these face steep barriers given Tisza's dominance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問