Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt, with Mike Mazzei securing the GOP nomination in a narrow August 25 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including large margins in recent presidential and gubernatorial contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Democrat Cyndi Munson, the clear primary winner, confronts structural headwinds from voter registration advantages and historical turnout patterns favoring Republicans. Factors reinforcing the frontrunner position include Mazzei’s Trump endorsement during the primary and the party’s record of holding the office since 2011. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually depressed Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,211 Vol.
$27,211 Vol.

共和党
95%

民主党
7%
$27,211 Vol.
$27,211 Vol.

共和党
95%

民主党
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt, with Mike Mazzei securing the GOP nomination in a narrow August 25 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including large margins in recent presidential and gubernatorial contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Democrat Cyndi Munson, the clear primary winner, confronts structural headwinds from voter registration advantages and historical turnout patterns favoring Republicans. Factors reinforcing the frontrunner position include Mazzei’s Trump endorsement during the primary and the party’s record of holding the office since 2011. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually depressed Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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