**Deb Haaland's decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary has solidified her position as the clear frontrunner in New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race.** With incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham term-limited, Haaland defeated Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman by a wide margin (73%-27%), positioning the former U.S. Interior Secretary as the party's nominee for the November 3 general election. On the Republican side, former Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull emerged from a three-way primary as the nominee. New Mexico's consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Haaland's high-profile background and strong primary performance, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Pre-primary polling showed Haaland competitive or leading in head-to-head matchups, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,530 Vol.
$22,530 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democrat
86%
Republican
12%
$22,530 Vol.
$22,530 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democrat
$16,175 Vol.
86%
Republican
$6,355 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Deb Haaland's decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary has solidified her position as the clear frontrunner in New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race.** With incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham term-limited, Haaland defeated Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman by a wide margin (73%-27%), positioning the former U.S. Interior Secretary as the party's nominee for the November 3 general election. On the Republican side, former Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull emerged from a three-way primary as the nominee.
New Mexico's consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Haaland's high-profile background and strong primary performance, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Pre-primary polling showed Haaland competitive or leading in head-to-head matchups, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$22,530終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Deb Haaland's decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary has solidified her position as the clear frontrunner in New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race.** With incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham term-limited, Haaland defeated Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman by a wide margin (73%-27%), positioning the former U.S. Interior Secretary as the party's nominee for the November 3 general election. On the Republican side, former Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull emerged from a three-way primary as the nominee.
New Mexico's consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Haaland's high-profile background and strong primary performance, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Pre-primary polling showed Haaland competitive or leading in head-to-head matchups, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$22,530終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Deb Haaland's decisive victory in the June 2 Democratic primary has solidified her position as the clear frontrunner in New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race.** With incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham term-limited, Haaland defeated Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman by a wide margin (73%-27%), positioning the former U.S. Interior Secretary as the party's nominee for the November 3 general election. On the Republican side, former Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull emerged from a three-way primary as the nominee. New Mexico's consistent Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Haaland's high-profile background and strong primary performance, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Pre-primary polling showed Haaland competitive or leading in head-to-head matchups, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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