Deb Haaland secured the Democratic nomination with 72 percent in the June primary and maintains a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Gregg Hull in recent polling, including a 41-24 percent advantage among registered voters in the latest BSP Research survey conducted in late July and early August. New Mexico’s partisan registration patterns and consistent Democratic performance in urban centers like Albuquerque, where Haaland holds a 26-point edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. High undecided shares near 27 percent and narrower gaps in rural areas represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3, though no major shifts have emerged in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,702 Vol.
$33,702 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$33,702 Vol.
$33,702 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,689 Vol.
93%
共和党
$15,013 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland secured the Democratic nomination with 72 percent in the June primary and maintains a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Gregg Hull in recent polling, including a 41-24 percent advantage among registered voters in the latest BSP Research survey conducted in late July and early August. New Mexico’s partisan registration patterns and consistent Democratic performance in urban centers like Albuquerque, where Haaland holds a 26-point edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. High undecided shares near 27 percent and narrower gaps in rural areas represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3, though no major shifts have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$33,702終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland secured the Democratic nomination with 72 percent in the June primary and maintains a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Gregg Hull in recent polling, including a 41-24 percent advantage among registered voters in the latest BSP Research survey conducted in late July and early August. New Mexico’s partisan registration patterns and consistent Democratic performance in urban centers like Albuquerque, where Haaland holds a 26-point edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. High undecided shares near 27 percent and narrower gaps in rural areas represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3, though no major shifts have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$33,702終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Deb Haaland secured the Democratic nomination with 72 percent in the June primary and maintains a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Gregg Hull in recent polling, including a 41-24 percent advantage among registered voters in the latest BSP Research survey conducted in late July and early August. New Mexico’s partisan registration patterns and consistent Democratic performance in urban centers like Albuquerque, where Haaland holds a 26-point edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. High undecided shares near 27 percent and narrower gaps in rural areas represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3, though no major shifts have emerged in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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