The House passed versions of the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) in 2025 and February 2026 on narrow party-line votes, but Senate efforts to advance it as a standalone measure or amendment have repeatedly failed, including 48-50 procedural votes where four Republicans joined Democrats to block inclusion in funding or defense packages. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action, citing insufficient support to reach the 60-vote filibuster threshold, and recent attempts to attach provisions to must-pass legislation or pursue reconciliation have not cleared procedural or vote-count hurdles. With the 2026 midterms approaching and limited remaining legislative days, these Senate dynamics have produced trader consensus that the bill will not reach the president for signature this year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$191,462 Vol.
$191,462 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$191,462 Vol.
$191,462 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House passed versions of the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) in 2025 and February 2026 on narrow party-line votes, but Senate efforts to advance it as a standalone measure or amendment have repeatedly failed, including 48-50 procedural votes where four Republicans joined Democrats to block inclusion in funding or defense packages. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action, citing insufficient support to reach the 60-vote filibuster threshold, and recent attempts to attach provisions to must-pass legislation or pursue reconciliation have not cleared procedural or vote-count hurdles. With the 2026 midterms approaching and limited remaining legislative days, these Senate dynamics have produced trader consensus that the bill will not reach the president for signature this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
音量
$191,462終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House passed versions of the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) in 2025 and February 2026 on narrow party-line votes, but Senate efforts to advance it as a standalone measure or amendment have repeatedly failed, including 48-50 procedural votes where four Republicans joined Democrats to block inclusion in funding or defense packages. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action, citing insufficient support to reach the 60-vote filibuster threshold, and recent attempts to attach provisions to must-pass legislation or pursue reconciliation have not cleared procedural or vote-count hurdles. With the 2026 midterms approaching and limited remaining legislative days, these Senate dynamics have produced trader consensus that the bill will not reach the president for signature this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$191,462終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The House passed versions of the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) in 2025 and February 2026 on narrow party-line votes, but Senate efforts to advance it as a standalone measure or amendment have repeatedly failed, including 48-50 procedural votes where four Republicans joined Democrats to block inclusion in funding or defense packages. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor action, citing insufficient support to reach the 60-vote filibuster threshold, and recent attempts to attach provisions to must-pass legislation or pursue reconciliation have not cleared procedural or vote-count hurdles. With the 2026 midterms approaching and limited remaining legislative days, these Senate dynamics have produced trader consensus that the bill will not reach the president for signature this year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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