Trader consensus on a "No" outcome for Donald Trump traveling personally into space during 2026 reflects the absence of any official announcements, scheduling, or credible plans tied to NASA initiatives, commercial providers like SpaceX, or executive actions advancing lunar or orbital missions. Policy developments center on agency-level goals such as Moon return timelines and lunar base construction under the National Space Policy, without provisions for presidential participation. Structural barriers including age-related medical requirements, national security protocols, launch vehicle certification processes, and the compressed timeline remaining in 2026 further limit feasibility. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unanticipated private-sector invitation or policy pivot, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2% 確率
$41,386 Vol.
$41,386 Vol.
2026/12/31
2% 確率
$41,386 Vol.
$41,386 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus on a "No" outcome for Donald Trump traveling personally into space during 2026 reflects the absence of any official announcements, scheduling, or credible plans tied to NASA initiatives, commercial providers like SpaceX, or executive actions advancing lunar or orbital missions. Policy developments center on agency-level goals such as Moon return timelines and lunar base construction under the National Space Policy, without provisions for presidential participation. Structural barriers including age-related medical requirements, national security protocols, launch vehicle certification processes, and the compressed timeline remaining in 2026 further limit feasibility. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unanticipated private-sector invitation or policy pivot, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$41,386終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus on a "No" outcome for Donald Trump traveling personally into space during 2026 reflects the absence of any official announcements, scheduling, or credible plans tied to NASA initiatives, commercial providers like SpaceX, or executive actions advancing lunar or orbital missions. Policy developments center on agency-level goals such as Moon return timelines and lunar base construction under the National Space Policy, without provisions for presidential participation. Structural barriers including age-related medical requirements, national security protocols, launch vehicle certification processes, and the compressed timeline remaining in 2026 further limit feasibility. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unanticipated private-sector invitation or policy pivot, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$41,386終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a "No" outcome for Donald Trump traveling personally into space during 2026 reflects the absence of any official announcements, scheduling, or credible plans tied to NASA initiatives, commercial providers like SpaceX, or executive actions advancing lunar or orbital missions. Policy developments center on agency-level goals such as Moon return timelines and lunar base construction under the National Space Policy, without provisions for presidential participation. Structural barriers including age-related medical requirements, national security protocols, launch vehicle certification processes, and the compressed timeline remaining in 2026 further limit feasibility. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unanticipated private-sector invitation or policy pivot, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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