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Trump goes to space in 2026?

icon for Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2% 確率
Polymarket

$40,588 Vol.

2% 確率
Polymarket

$40,588 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Absence of any official itinerary, training announcements, or executive directives signals that traders view a 2026 spaceflight by President Trump as highly improbable. U.S. space policy under the current administration emphasizes lunar return timelines, NASA Artemis advancements, and commercial partnerships through 2028, yet places no priority on presidential crew participation. At advanced age, candidates for orbital or suborbital missions face rigorous medical, physical, and preparation standards that have historically excluded sitting leaders. No primary-source statements from the White House, NASA, or operators such as SpaceX have indicated plans. The 98.4 percent “No” consensus reflects this structural and logistical reality, though an unforeseen diplomatic or ceremonial flight could theoretically shift odds if announced and executed before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$40,588
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Absence of any official itinerary, training announcements, or executive directives signals that traders view a 2026 spaceflight by President Trump as highly improbable. U.S. space policy under the current administration emphasizes lunar return timelines, NASA Artemis advancements, and commercial partnerships through 2028, yet places no priority on presidential crew participation. At advanced age, candidates for orbital or suborbital missions face rigorous medical, physical, and preparation standards that have historically excluded sitting leaders. No primary-source statements from the White House, NASA, or operators such as SpaceX have indicated plans. The 98.4 percent “No” consensus reflects this structural and logistical reality, though an unforeseen diplomatic or ceremonial flight could theoretically shift odds if announced and executed before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$40,588
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Trump goes to space in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。例えば、「はい」が2¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を2%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump goes to space in 2026?」は$40.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump goes to space in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump goes to space in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を2%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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