Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/11
シンガポール
49%
ジャカルタ
50%
ムンバイ
49%
マニラ
49%
Tokyo
50%
ラゴス
50%
バンコク
49%
香港
50%
ソウル（仁川）
50%
台北
51%
コロンボ
50%
ダッカ
49%
クアラルンプール
50%
London
50%
ドバイ
50%
サンパウロ
49%
シドニー
50%
$0.00 Vol.
シンガポール
$0 Vol.
49%
ジャカルタ
$0 Vol.
50%
ムンバイ
$0 Vol.
49%
マニラ
$0 Vol.
49%
Tokyo
$0 Vol.
50%
ラゴス
$0 Vol.
50%
バンコク
$0 Vol.
49%
香港
$0 Vol.
50%
ソウル（仁川）
$0 Vol.
50%
台北
$0 Vol.
51%
コロンボ
$0 Vol.
50%
ダッカ
$0 Vol.
49%
クアラルンプール
$0 Vol.
50%
London
$0 Vol.
50%
ドバイ
$0 Vol.
50%
サンパウロ
$0 Vol.
49%
シドニー
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETTrader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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