President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$73,487 Vol.
2026/04/30
バラク・オバマ
67%
マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン
50%
キア・スターマー
42%
レオ14世ローマ教皇
29%
タッカー・カールソン
31%
メーガン・ケリー
29%
アレックス・ジョーンズ
14%
パム・ボンディ
7%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
5%
イーロン・マスク
4%
ヴィクトル・オルバン
4%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
3%
J.D.バンス
3%
習近平
2%
メラニア・トランプ
1%
カンディス・オーウェンズ
43%
$73,487 Vol.
バラク・オバマ
$1,697 Vol.
67%
マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン
$197 Vol.
50%
キア・スターマー
$306 Vol.
42%
レオ14世ローマ教皇
$2,320 Vol.
29%
タッカー・カールソン
$766 Vol.
31%
メーガン・ケリー
$0 Vol.
29%
アレックス・ジョーンズ
$1,364 Vol.
14%
パム・ボンディ
$451 Vol.
7%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
$6,047 Vol.
5%
イーロン・マスク
$955 Vol.
4%
ヴィクトル・オルバン
$3,355 Vol.
4%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
$3,056 Vol.
3%
J.D.バンス
$6,308 Vol.
3%
習近平
$11,056 Vol.
2%
メラニア・トランプ
$8,151 Vol.
1%
カンディス・オーウェンズ
$49 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
音量
$73,487終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$73,487終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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