President Trump's recent Truth Social barrages targeting Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal" and "weak" on Iran and Middle East conflicts, including a now-deleted AI image depicting himself in a religious context, underscore his pattern of public insults via social media amid escalating geopolitical tensions. This feud, sparking Vatican backlash and domestic criticism, has traders closely tracking his posts, rallies, and interviews through April 30 resolution. Likely catalysts include policy disputes, perceived betrayals by allies like media figures or GOP members, or foreign policy critiques, with historical posting habits—often late-night and reactive—amplifying uncertainty in this closely watched market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$76,216 Vol.
2026/04/30
バラク・オバマ
67%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
51%
ジェローム・パウエル
50%
マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン
50%
レオ14世ローマ教皇
29%
タッカー・カールソン
31%
メーガン・ケリー
29%
アレックス・ジョーンズ
14%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
6%
ヴィクトル・オルバン
3%
J.D.バンス
3%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
2%
習近平
2%
パム・ボンディ
2%
メラニア・トランプ
1%
イーロン・マスク
1%
カンディス・オーウェンズ
43%
キア・スターマー
35%
$76,216 Vol.
バラク・オバマ
$1,703 Vol.
67%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
$0 Vol.
51%
ジェローム・パウエル
$0 Vol.
50%
マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン
$197 Vol.
50%
レオ14世ローマ教皇
$2,320 Vol.
29%
タッカー・カールソン
$766 Vol.
31%
メーガン・ケリー
$0 Vol.
29%
アレックス・ジョーンズ
$1,364 Vol.
14%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
$6,169 Vol.
6%
ヴィクトル・オルバン
$3,855 Vol.
3%
J.D.バンス
$6,392 Vol.
3%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
$3,208 Vol.
2%
習近平
$11,270 Vol.
2%
パム・ボンディ
$1,587 Vol.
2%
メラニア・トランプ
$8,151 Vol.
1%
イーロン・マスク
$1,667 Vol.
1%
カンディス・オーウェンズ
$49 Vol.
43%
キア・スターマー
$312 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social barrages targeting Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal" and "weak" on Iran and Middle East conflicts, including a now-deleted AI image depicting himself in a religious context, underscore his pattern of public insults via social media amid escalating geopolitical tensions. This feud, sparking Vatican backlash and domestic criticism, has traders closely tracking his posts, rallies, and interviews through April 30 resolution. Likely catalysts include policy disputes, perceived betrayals by allies like media figures or GOP members, or foreign policy critiques, with historical posting habits—often late-night and reactive—amplifying uncertainty in this closely watched market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
音量
$76,216終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social barrages targeting Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal" and "weak" on Iran and Middle East conflicts, including a now-deleted AI image depicting himself in a religious context, underscore his pattern of public insults via social media amid escalating geopolitical tensions. This feud, sparking Vatican backlash and domestic criticism, has traders closely tracking his posts, rallies, and interviews through April 30 resolution. Likely catalysts include policy disputes, perceived betrayals by allies like media figures or GOP members, or foreign policy critiques, with historical posting habits—often late-night and reactive—amplifying uncertainty in this closely watched market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$76,216終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social barrages targeting Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal" and "weak" on Iran and Middle East conflicts, including a now-deleted AI image depicting himself in a religious context, underscore his pattern of public insults via social media amid escalating geopolitical tensions. This feud, sparking Vatican backlash and domestic criticism, has traders closely tracking his posts, rallies, and interviews through April 30 resolution. Likely catalysts include policy disputes, perceived betrayals by allies like media figures or GOP members, or foreign policy critiques, with historical posting habits—often late-night and reactive—amplifying uncertainty in this closely watched market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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