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政治·文化

トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？

Market icon
政治·文化

トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？

$134,797 Vol.

2026/04/15
Polymarket

$134,797 Vol.

Polymarket

4月16日

$3,271 Vol.

92%

4月17日

$7,750 Vol.

92%

4月18日

$4,621 Vol.

82%

4月19日

$238 Vol.

70%

4月20日

$912 Vol.

74%

4月21日

$6,065 Vol.

77%

4月22日

$3,113 Vol.

81%

4月23日

$7,676 Vol.

85%

4月24日

$5,872 Vol.

81%

4月25日

$4,898 Vol.

83%

4月26日

$2,220 Vol.

70%

4月27日

$5,884 Vol.

80%

4月28日

$394 Vol.

71%

4月29日

$3,608 Vol.

80%

4月30日

$441 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 73-90% for Donald Trump publicly insulting someone on each late-April date through April 30, reflecting his consistent pattern of personal attacks via Truth Social and speeches amid the ongoing feud with Pope Leo XIV. Over the past week, Trump launched a 330-word rant on April 12-13 labeling the pontiff "weak" and "terrible" for criticizing U.S. Iran policy, with insults continuing April 15 as the Pope toured Africa promoting peace. Vice President Vance echoed the attacks, drawing Catholic backlash. No quiet days since April 8 heighten expectations, especially ahead of Trump's April 17 Turning Point USA rally in Phoenix where inflammatory rhetoric is common. Markets resolve on verifiable public statements targeting non-fictional individuals personally, excluding policy critiques.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$134,797
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 73-90% for Donald Trump publicly insulting someone on each late-April date through April 30, reflecting his consistent pattern of personal attacks via Truth Social and speeches amid the ongoing feud with Pope Leo XIV. Over the past week, Trump launched a 330-word rant on April 12-13 labeling the pontiff "weak" and "terrible" for criticizing U.S. Iran policy, with insults continuing April 15 as the Pope toured Africa promoting peace. Vice President Vance echoed the attacks, drawing Catholic backlash. No quiet days since April 8 heighten expectations, especially ahead of Trump's April 17 Turning Point USA rally in Phoenix where inflammatory rhetoric is common. Markets resolve on verifiable public statements targeting non-fictional individuals personally, excluding policy critiques.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$134,797
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」はPolymarket上の20個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4月11日」で100%、次いで「4月12日」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」は$134.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている20個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4月11日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月12日」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。