Trader consensus on Polymarket prices LIBRE at 42.5% and UNIDAD at 40% to secure the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 regional elections, reflecting the fragmented first-round results from March 22 where no party swept the nine departments amid opposition vote-splitting and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist alliances holding steady in highland areas like La Paz and Tarija. MAS-IPSP trails at 2.5% after national losses in 2025 eroded its base, while APB Súmate eyes regional gains in Cochabamba. The race stays tight due to regional strongholds canceling out, with April 19 runoffs in five battlegrounds—Santa Cruz (LIBRE-favored), Beni, Chuquisaca, Oruro, and Tarija—poised to tip the balance via coalition endorsements or turnout shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 38%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) 20%
Popular Alliance (AP) 9.0%
$981 거래량
$981 거래량

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
38%

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
20%

Popular Alliance (AP)
22%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
3%

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
30%
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 38%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) 20%
Popular Alliance (AP) 9.0%
$981 거래량
$981 거래량

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
38%

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
20%

Popular Alliance (AP)
22%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
3%

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
30%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices LIBRE at 42.5% and UNIDAD at 40% to secure the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 regional elections, reflecting the fragmented first-round results from March 22 where no party swept the nine departments amid opposition vote-splitting and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist alliances holding steady in highland areas like La Paz and Tarija. MAS-IPSP trails at 2.5% after national losses in 2025 eroded its base, while APB Súmate eyes regional gains in Cochabamba. The race stays tight due to regional strongholds canceling out, with April 19 runoffs in five battlegrounds—Santa Cruz (LIBRE-favored), Beni, Chuquisaca, Oruro, and Tarija—poised to tip the balance via coalition endorsements or turnout shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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