Polling in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with a record 85% turnout, reinforcing trader consensus on BJP's commanding position at 96% implied probability for most seats. Pre-election opinion polls from March-April, including IANS-Matrize projecting 96-98 BJP seats and others forecasting NDA's 80-90, underscore Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity—preferred by nearly half of voters—and the incumbent NDA alliance's (BJP, AGP, BPF) development record amid stable alliances. Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's push. Vote counting on May 4 could shift odds only via unforeseen polling discrepancies or regional upsets in Muslim-majority areas, though surveys show consistent NDA leads of 3-6% vote share.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트BJP 96.2%
인도 국민회의(INC) 3.0%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,378 거래량
$60,378 거래량
2026.05.20
BJP
96%
인도 국민회의(INC)
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.2%
인도 국민회의(INC) 3.0%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,378 거래량
$60,378 거래량
2026.05.20
BJP
$11,695 거래량
96%
인도 국민회의(INC)
$7,393 거래량
3%
AITC
$4,503 거래량
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,830 거래량
<1%
NCP
$4,181 거래량
<1%
AIUDF
$4,917 거래량
<1%
BPF
$4,458 거래량
<1%
CPI
$8,605 거래량
<1%
NPEP
$5,154 거래량
<1%
AGP
$4,642 거래량
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Polling in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with a record 85% turnout, reinforcing trader consensus on BJP's commanding position at 96% implied probability for most seats. Pre-election opinion polls from March-April, including IANS-Matrize projecting 96-98 BJP seats and others forecasting NDA's 80-90, underscore Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity—preferred by nearly half of voters—and the incumbent NDA alliance's (BJP, AGP, BPF) development record amid stable alliances. Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's push. Vote counting on May 4 could shift odds only via unforeseen polling discrepancies or regional upsets in Muslim-majority areas, though surveys show consistent NDA leads of 3-6% vote share.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
거래량
$60,378종료일
2026.04.09마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Polling in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with a record 85% turnout, reinforcing trader consensus on BJP's commanding position at 96% implied probability for most seats. Pre-election opinion polls from March-April, including IANS-Matrize projecting 96-98 BJP seats and others forecasting NDA's 80-90, underscore Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity—preferred by nearly half of voters—and the incumbent NDA alliance's (BJP, AGP, BPF) development record amid stable alliances. Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's push. Vote counting on May 4 could shift odds only via unforeseen polling discrepancies or regional upsets in Muslim-majority areas, though surveys show consistent NDA leads of 3-6% vote share.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
거래량
$60,378종료일
2026.04.09마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polling in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with a record 85% turnout, reinforcing trader consensus on BJP's commanding position at 96% implied probability for most seats. Pre-election opinion polls from March-April, including IANS-Matrize projecting 96-98 BJP seats and others forecasting NDA's 80-90, underscore Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity—preferred by nearly half of voters—and the incumbent NDA alliance's (BJP, AGP, BPF) development record amid stable alliances. Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's push. Vote counting on May 4 could shift odds only via unforeseen polling discrepancies or regional upsets in Muslim-majority areas, though surveys show consistent NDA leads of 3-6% vote share.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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