Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전 100.0%
4월 17일 <1%
4월 18일 <1%
4월 19일 <1%
$330,392 거래량
$330,392 거래량
2026.04.30
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전
예
4월 17일
아니오
4월 18일
아니오
4월 19일
아니오
4월 20일
아니오
4월 21일
아니오
4월 22일
아니오
4월 23일
아니오
4월 24일
아니오
4월 25일
아니오
4월 26일
아니오
4월 27일
아니오
4월 28일
아니오
4월 29일
아니오
4월 30일
아니오
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음
아니오
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전 100.0%
4월 17일 <1%
4월 18일 <1%
4월 19일 <1%
$330,392 거래량
$330,392 거래량
2026.04.30
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전
$171,584 거래량
예
4월 17일
$22,254 거래량
아니오
4월 18일
$15,199 거래량
아니오
4월 19일
$8,993 거래량
아니오
4월 20일
$7,985 거래량
아니오
4월 21일
$9,387 거래량
아니오
4월 22일
$4,823 거래량
아니오
4월 23일
$4,910 거래량
아니오
4월 24일
$4,639 거래량
아니오
4월 25일
$4,164 거래량
아니오
4월 26일
$4,620 거래량
아니오
4월 27일
$4,838 거래량
아니오
4월 28일
$4,249 거래량
아니오
4월 29일
$4,045 거래량
아니오
4월 30일
$3,681 거래량
아니오
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음
$55,022 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
거래량
$330,392종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$330,392종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문