Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper's commanding position in the Colorado U.S. Senate race, bolstered by nearly $4 million cash-on-hand after a strong $1.4 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul and a solid lead over primary challenger state Sen. Julie Gonzales in February polling, underpins trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of a Democratic victory in Democratic-leaning Colorado. Recent GOP state assembly action on April 12 endorsed state Sen. Mark Baisley as the unopposed Republican primary nominee, but his profile has not shifted market dynamics amid the state's historical incumbency advantages and lack of recent general election polls favoring Republicans. A Denver Post poll last week highlighted dimming approval for Hickenlooper amid economic concerns, yet traders prioritize structural factors. Primaries on June 30 could introduce volatility if Gonzales pulls an upset, potentially yielding a weaker general election Democrat, while national midterm Republican gains, a major scandal, or worsening economic trends represent realistic paths to upend the frontrunner.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,381 거래량
$31,381 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
91%
공화당
10%
$31,381 거래량
$31,381 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$7,357 거래량
91%
공화당
$24,024 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper's commanding position in the Colorado U.S. Senate race, bolstered by nearly $4 million cash-on-hand after a strong $1.4 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul and a solid lead over primary challenger state Sen. Julie Gonzales in February polling, underpins trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of a Democratic victory in Democratic-leaning Colorado. Recent GOP state assembly action on April 12 endorsed state Sen. Mark Baisley as the unopposed Republican primary nominee, but his profile has not shifted market dynamics amid the state's historical incumbency advantages and lack of recent general election polls favoring Republicans. A Denver Post poll last week highlighted dimming approval for Hickenlooper amid economic concerns, yet traders prioritize structural factors. Primaries on June 30 could introduce volatility if Gonzales pulls an upset, potentially yielding a weaker general election Democrat, while national midterm Republican gains, a major scandal, or worsening economic trends represent realistic paths to upend the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$31,381종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper's commanding position in the Colorado U.S. Senate race, bolstered by nearly $4 million cash-on-hand after a strong $1.4 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul and a solid lead over primary challenger state Sen. Julie Gonzales in February polling, underpins trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of a Democratic victory in Democratic-leaning Colorado. Recent GOP state assembly action on April 12 endorsed state Sen. Mark Baisley as the unopposed Republican primary nominee, but his profile has not shifted market dynamics amid the state's historical incumbency advantages and lack of recent general election polls favoring Republicans. A Denver Post poll last week highlighted dimming approval for Hickenlooper amid economic concerns, yet traders prioritize structural factors. Primaries on June 30 could introduce volatility if Gonzales pulls an upset, potentially yielding a weaker general election Democrat, while national midterm Republican gains, a major scandal, or worsening economic trends represent realistic paths to upend the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$31,381종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper's commanding position in the Colorado U.S. Senate race, bolstered by nearly $4 million cash-on-hand after a strong $1.4 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul and a solid lead over primary challenger state Sen. Julie Gonzales in February polling, underpins trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of a Democratic victory in Democratic-leaning Colorado. Recent GOP state assembly action on April 12 endorsed state Sen. Mark Baisley as the unopposed Republican primary nominee, but his profile has not shifted market dynamics amid the state's historical incumbency advantages and lack of recent general election polls favoring Republicans. A Denver Post poll last week highlighted dimming approval for Hickenlooper amid economic concerns, yet traders prioritize structural factors. Primaries on June 30 could introduce volatility if Gonzales pulls an upset, potentially yielding a weaker general election Democrat, while national midterm Republican gains, a major scandal, or worsening economic trends represent realistic paths to upend the frontrunner.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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