Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 64% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its narrow leads in the latest April polls amid a fragmented field and high undecided voters around 25%. Recent surveys by Explorer for Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6) show DISY at 17.6% versus AKEL's 17.1%, while Noverna for Politis indicates a statistical tie among declared voters (DISY 22.3%, AKEL 21.3%), with ELAM and ALMA contending for third at around 10% each. DISY's positioning stems from consistent slight edges over AKEL—echoing its 2021 plurality of 24 seats—bolstered by alignment with President Christodoulides and stronger district-level potential in proportional representation across six constituencies, though AKEL's higher voter certainty could narrow the gap as campaigning intensifies. Smaller parties like EDEK, ELAM, and DIKO trail far behind due to vote-splitting risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트DISY 67%
AKEL 27%
EDEK 3.8%
ELAM 1.7%
$11,014 거래량
$11,014 거래량
2026.05.24
DISY
63%
AKEL
32%
EDEK
4%
ELAM
2%
DIKO
1%
KOSP
1%
DIPA
1%
DNM (DEK)
1%
VOLT
1%
DISY 67%
AKEL 27%
EDEK 3.8%
ELAM 1.7%
$11,014 거래량
$11,014 거래량
2026.05.24
DISY
$2,975 거래량
63%
AKEL
$1,400 거래량
32%
EDEK
$931 거래량
4%
ELAM
$875 거래량
2%
DIKO
$1,001 거래량
1%
KOSP
$888 거래량
1%
DIPA
$917 거래량
1%
DNM (DEK)
$973 거래량
1%
VOLT
$1,055 거래량
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 64% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its narrow leads in the latest April polls amid a fragmented field and high undecided voters around 25%. Recent surveys by Explorer for Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6) show DISY at 17.6% versus AKEL's 17.1%, while Noverna for Politis indicates a statistical tie among declared voters (DISY 22.3%, AKEL 21.3%), with ELAM and ALMA contending for third at around 10% each. DISY's positioning stems from consistent slight edges over AKEL—echoing its 2021 plurality of 24 seats—bolstered by alignment with President Christodoulides and stronger district-level potential in proportional representation across six constituencies, though AKEL's higher voter certainty could narrow the gap as campaigning intensifies. Smaller parties like EDEK, ELAM, and DIKO trail far behind due to vote-splitting risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
마켓 개설일: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
거래량
$11,014종료일
2026.05.24마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 64% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its narrow leads in the latest April polls amid a fragmented field and high undecided voters around 25%. Recent surveys by Explorer for Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6) show DISY at 17.6% versus AKEL's 17.1%, while Noverna for Politis indicates a statistical tie among declared voters (DISY 22.3%, AKEL 21.3%), with ELAM and ALMA contending for third at around 10% each. DISY's positioning stems from consistent slight edges over AKEL—echoing its 2021 plurality of 24 seats—bolstered by alignment with President Christodoulides and stronger district-level potential in proportional representation across six constituencies, though AKEL's higher voter certainty could narrow the gap as campaigning intensifies. Smaller parties like EDEK, ELAM, and DIKO trail far behind due to vote-splitting risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
거래량
$11,014종료일
2026.05.24마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 64% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its narrow leads in the latest April polls amid a fragmented field and high undecided voters around 25%. Recent surveys by Explorer for Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6) show DISY at 17.6% versus AKEL's 17.1%, while Noverna for Politis indicates a statistical tie among declared voters (DISY 22.3%, AKEL 21.3%), with ELAM and ALMA contending for third at around 10% each. DISY's positioning stems from consistent slight edges over AKEL—echoing its 2021 plurality of 24 seats—bolstered by alignment with President Christodoulides and stronger district-level potential in proportional representation across six constituencies, though AKEL's higher voter certainty could narrow the gap as campaigning intensifies. Smaller parties like EDEK, ELAM, and DIKO trail far behind due to vote-splitting risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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