SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.