Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race for the June 3 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting a 93.5% implied probability driven by a recent Gallup poll showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok 49%-33%, a 16-point gap outside the margin of error, particularly strong among moderates at 57%. This builds on consistent polling advantages since February—widening from 12-27 points—bolstered by Democratic Party single-nomination unity after Rep. Kim Kyo-heung's withdrawal and joint capital-region pledges announced April 12 emphasizing economic recovery. While Park's momentum dominates in this direct popular vote contest, a late scandal, national ruling party surge, or Yoo's incumbency advantages in turnout could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인천시장 선거 당선자
인천시장 선거 당선자
박찬대 94%
유정복 4.7%
김교흥 <1%
이학재 <1%
$2,474,417 거래량
$2,474,417 거래량
2026.06.03
박찬대
94%
유정복
5%
김교흥
1%
이학재
<1%
배준영
<1%
정일영
<1%
윤상현
<1%
박남춘
<1%
유동수
<1%
박찬대 94%
유정복 4.7%
김교흥 <1%
이학재 <1%
$2,474,417 거래량
$2,474,417 거래량
2026.06.03
박찬대
$130,996 거래량
94%
유정복
$1,919,135 거래량
5%
김교흥
$54,095 거래량
1%
이학재
$33,527 거래량
<1%
배준영
$28,251 거래량
<1%
정일영
$35,482 거래량
<1%
윤상현
$130,714 거래량
<1%
박남춘
$44,713 거래량
<1%
유동수
$97,503 거래량
<1%
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race for the June 3 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting a 93.5% implied probability driven by a recent Gallup poll showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok 49%-33%, a 16-point gap outside the margin of error, particularly strong among moderates at 57%. This builds on consistent polling advantages since February—widening from 12-27 points—bolstered by Democratic Party single-nomination unity after Rep. Kim Kyo-heung's withdrawal and joint capital-region pledges announced April 12 emphasizing economic recovery. While Park's momentum dominates in this direct popular vote contest, a late scandal, national ruling party surge, or Yoo's incumbency advantages in turnout could narrow the gap before election day.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
거래량
$2,474,417종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race for the June 3 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting a 93.5% implied probability driven by a recent Gallup poll showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok 49%-33%, a 16-point gap outside the margin of error, particularly strong among moderates at 57%. This builds on consistent polling advantages since February—widening from 12-27 points—bolstered by Democratic Party single-nomination unity after Rep. Kim Kyo-heung's withdrawal and joint capital-region pledges announced April 12 emphasizing economic recovery. While Park's momentum dominates in this direct popular vote contest, a late scandal, national ruling party surge, or Yoo's incumbency advantages in turnout could narrow the gap before election day.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
거래량
$2,474,417종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race for the June 3 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting a 93.5% implied probability driven by a recent Gallup poll showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok 49%-33%, a 16-point gap outside the margin of error, particularly strong among moderates at 57%. This builds on consistent polling advantages since February—widening from 12-27 points—bolstered by Democratic Party single-nomination unity after Rep. Kim Kyo-heung's withdrawal and joint capital-region pledges announced April 12 emphasizing economic recovery. While Park's momentum dominates in this direct popular vote contest, a late scandal, national ruling party surge, or Yoo's incumbency advantages in turnout could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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