Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 94.5% trader consensus in the May 12 Newark mayoral election, driven by his three-term record and recent State of the City address on April 1 touting 12 years of achievements, including the city's lowest crime rates and homicide figures since the 1950s. Certified in February with seven minor challengers like Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis—none polling competitively—Baraka benefits from no term limits and incumbency advantages in the nonpartisan municipal race. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects weak opposition amid ongoing community initiatives, such as the April 14 Neighborhood Branding unveiling. Late scandals, health issues, or election integrity disputes could challenge the outcome before polls close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ras Baraka 95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.6%
Nasheedah Singleton 1.2%
Douglas Davis 1.0%
$13,982 거래량
$13,982 거래량
Ras Baraka
95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
2%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Sheila Montague
1%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.6%
Nasheedah Singleton 1.2%
Douglas Davis 1.0%
$13,982 거래량
$13,982 거래량
Ras Baraka
95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
2%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Sheila Montague
1%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
마켓 개설일: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 94.5% trader consensus in the May 12 Newark mayoral election, driven by his three-term record and recent State of the City address on April 1 touting 12 years of achievements, including the city's lowest crime rates and homicide figures since the 1950s. Certified in February with seven minor challengers like Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis—none polling competitively—Baraka benefits from no term limits and incumbency advantages in the nonpartisan municipal race. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects weak opposition amid ongoing community initiatives, such as the April 14 Neighborhood Branding unveiling. Late scandals, health issues, or election integrity disputes could challenge the outcome before polls close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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