Following March 2026 municipal elections, where Édouard Philippe won reelection as Le Havre mayor amid Rassemblement National gains but no major city takeovers, recent polls reflect a tight presidential race. Jordan Bardella leads first-round intentions at 34-38% (Elabe, OpinionWay, Odoxa late March), buoyed by public desire for change, while Philippe scores 18-25.5% as the top centrist. In runoffs, Philippe narrowly prevails over Bardella (51.5-48.5% per Elabe), positioning him as the leading anti-far-right consolidator. Trader sentiment tracks this balance in a fragmented field lacking left unity. Key separators include potential left primaries, formal candidacies, economic shifts, or scandals before the April 2027 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트에두아르 필리프 25%
조르당 바르델라 24%
도미니크 드 빌팽 5.8%
마린 르펜 6%
$41,361,348 거래량
$41,361,348 거래량

에두아르 필리프
25%

조르당 바르델라
24%

도미니크 드 빌팽
6%

마린 르펜
6%

장뤼크 멜랑숑
6%

다비드 리스나르
4%

가브리엘 아탈
4%

브루노 르테요
3%

프랑수아 올랑드
3%

라파엘 글뤼크스만
2%

사라 크나포
2%

제랄드 다르마냉
2%

장 카스텍스
1%

세바스티엥 르코르누
1%

파비앵 루셀
1%

에릭 제무르
1%

프랑수아 루팽
1%

발레리 페크레스
1%

프랑수아 아슬리노
1%

마누엘 봄파르
1%

후안 브랑코
1%

자비에 베르트랑
1%

마린 통들리에
1%

올리비에 포르
1%

세골렌 루아얄
1%

클레망틴 오탕
1%

미셸 바르니에
1%

야엘 브라운-피베
1%

클레망스 게떼
1%

로랑 보키에
1%

니콜라 뒤퐁-에냥
1%

엘리자베트 본
1%

프랑수아 바위루
1%

베르나르 카즈뇌브
1%

마틸드 파노
1%

카롤 델가
<1%
에두아르 필리프 25%
조르당 바르델라 24%
도미니크 드 빌팽 5.8%
마린 르펜 6%
$41,361,348 거래량
$41,361,348 거래량

에두아르 필리프
25%

조르당 바르델라
24%

도미니크 드 빌팽
6%

마린 르펜
6%

장뤼크 멜랑숑
6%

다비드 리스나르
4%

가브리엘 아탈
4%

브루노 르테요
3%

프랑수아 올랑드
3%

라파엘 글뤼크스만
2%

사라 크나포
2%

제랄드 다르마냉
2%

장 카스텍스
1%

세바스티엥 르코르누
1%

파비앵 루셀
1%

에릭 제무르
1%

프랑수아 루팽
1%

발레리 페크레스
1%

프랑수아 아슬리노
1%

마누엘 봄파르
1%

후안 브랑코
1%

자비에 베르트랑
1%

마린 통들리에
1%

올리비에 포르
1%

세골렌 루아얄
1%

클레망틴 오탕
1%

미셸 바르니에
1%

야엘 브라운-피베
1%

클레망스 게떼
1%

로랑 보키에
1%

니콜라 뒤퐁-에냥
1%

엘리자베트 본
1%

프랑수아 바위루
1%

베르나르 카즈뇌브
1%

마틸드 파노
1%

카롤 델가
<1%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following March 2026 municipal elections, where Édouard Philippe won reelection as Le Havre mayor amid Rassemblement National gains but no major city takeovers, recent polls reflect a tight presidential race. Jordan Bardella leads first-round intentions at 34-38% (Elabe, OpinionWay, Odoxa late March), buoyed by public desire for change, while Philippe scores 18-25.5% as the top centrist. In runoffs, Philippe narrowly prevails over Bardella (51.5-48.5% per Elabe), positioning him as the leading anti-far-right consolidator. Trader sentiment tracks this balance in a fragmented field lacking left unity. Key separators include potential left primaries, formal candidacies, economic shifts, or scandals before the April 2027 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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