Provisional results from Benin's April 12 presidential election show finance minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes with most ballots counted, as announced by the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (CENA), propelling trader consensus to a 98.3% implied probability on his victory as next president. Outgoing President Patrice Talon's anointed successor, Wadagni faced limited opposition after several candidates were barred from the ballot, with main challenger Paul Hounkpè conceding defeat. CENA described the outcome as irreversible, though final certification by the Constitutional Court is pending; scenarios that could shift odds include successful legal challenges over alleged irregularities or late-breaking disputes, but none have materialized amid the landslide margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,903 거래량
$29,903 거래량

Romuald Wadagni
98%

Paul Hounkpè
<1%
$29,903 거래량
$29,903 거래량

Romuald Wadagni
98%

Paul Hounkpè
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Provisional results from Benin's April 12 presidential election show finance minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes with most ballots counted, as announced by the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (CENA), propelling trader consensus to a 98.3% implied probability on his victory as next president. Outgoing President Patrice Talon's anointed successor, Wadagni faced limited opposition after several candidates were barred from the ballot, with main challenger Paul Hounkpè conceding defeat. CENA described the outcome as irreversible, though final certification by the Constitutional Court is pending; scenarios that could shift odds include successful legal challenges over alleged irregularities or late-breaking disputes, but none have materialized amid the landslide margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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