Trader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트아무것도 없음
$25,788 거래량
$25,788 거래량
2026.04.30
아무것도 없음
$25,788 거래량
$25,788 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
거래량
$25,788종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
거래량
$27,086종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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