Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,218 거래량
$16,218 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
91%
Republican
7%
$16,218 거래량
$16,218 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
$5,803 거래량
91%
Republican
$10,415 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$16,218종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$16,218종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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