The open seat created by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs retiring to run for governor has not altered the district's strong partisan profile, as nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify Arizona's 5th as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican primary polling consistently shows Mark Lamb leading Daniel Keenan by wide margins for the July 21 nomination, while the Democratic primary among Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee features a recent June 4 debate but limited visibility in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive general-election indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,855 거래량
$12,855 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
15%
$12,855 거래량
$12,855 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,158 거래량
81%
Democratic Party
$4,697 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs retiring to run for governor has not altered the district's strong partisan profile, as nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify Arizona's 5th as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican primary polling consistently shows Mark Lamb leading Daniel Keenan by wide margins for the July 21 nomination, while the Democratic primary among Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee features a recent June 4 debate but limited visibility in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive general-election indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$12,855종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs retiring to run for governor has not altered the district's strong partisan profile, as nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify Arizona's 5th as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican primary polling consistently shows Mark Lamb leading Daniel Keenan by wide margins for the July 21 nomination, while the Democratic primary among Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee features a recent June 4 debate but limited visibility in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive general-election indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,855종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs retiring to run for governor has not altered the district's strong partisan profile, as nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify Arizona's 5th as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican primary polling consistently shows Mark Lamb leading Daniel Keenan by wide margins for the July 21 nomination, while the Democratic primary among Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee features a recent June 4 debate but limited visibility in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive general-election indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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