Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance through administrative resources, state media control, and a parallel voting system blending proportional representation with single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including January's campaign launch, party restructuring under Dmitry Medvedev with pro-war candidates like Sergei Lavrov, and expanded electronic voting across half of regions, reinforce this positioning despite polls from early April showing United Russia at 38-52% amid inflation-driven dips. Opposition faces suppression, as seen in Communist Party arrests, limiting challenges; scenarios like a severe economic collapse or military reversal in Ukraine could shift odds, though traders see slim barriers to a supermajority renewal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트통합 러시아(ER) 96.8%
시민 플랫폼(GP) <1%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) <1%
새로운 사람들(NL) <1%
$924,703 거래량
$924,703 거래량
2026.09.30
통합 러시아(ER)
97%
시민 플랫폼(GP)
1%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
1%
새로운 사람들(NL)
1%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
1%
공정 러시아 – 진리를 위하여(SRZP)
1%
로디나
<1%
통합 러시아(ER) 96.8%
시민 플랫폼(GP) <1%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) <1%
새로운 사람들(NL) <1%
$924,703 거래량
$924,703 거래량
2026.09.30
통합 러시아(ER)
$472,394 거래량
97%
시민 플랫폼(GP)
$80,153 거래량
1%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
$77,513 거래량
1%
새로운 사람들(NL)
$53,766 거래량
1%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
$31,711 거래량
1%
공정 러시아 – 진리를 위하여(SRZP)
$133,959 거래량
1%
로디나
$75,205 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance through administrative resources, state media control, and a parallel voting system blending proportional representation with single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including January's campaign launch, party restructuring under Dmitry Medvedev with pro-war candidates like Sergei Lavrov, and expanded electronic voting across half of regions, reinforce this positioning despite polls from early April showing United Russia at 38-52% amid inflation-driven dips. Opposition faces suppression, as seen in Communist Party arrests, limiting challenges; scenarios like a severe economic collapse or military reversal in Ukraine could shift odds, though traders see slim barriers to a supermajority renewal.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
거래량
$924,703종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance through administrative resources, state media control, and a parallel voting system blending proportional representation with single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including January's campaign launch, party restructuring under Dmitry Medvedev with pro-war candidates like Sergei Lavrov, and expanded electronic voting across half of regions, reinforce this positioning despite polls from early April showing United Russia at 38-52% amid inflation-driven dips. Opposition faces suppression, as seen in Communist Party arrests, limiting challenges; scenarios like a severe economic collapse or military reversal in Ukraine could shift odds, though traders see slim barriers to a supermajority renewal.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
거래량
$924,703종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance through administrative resources, state media control, and a parallel voting system blending proportional representation with single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including January's campaign launch, party restructuring under Dmitry Medvedev with pro-war candidates like Sergei Lavrov, and expanded electronic voting across half of regions, reinforce this positioning despite polls from early April showing United Russia at 38-52% amid inflation-driven dips. Opposition faces suppression, as seen in Communist Party arrests, limiting challenges; scenarios like a severe economic collapse or military reversal in Ukraine could shift odds, though traders see slim barriers to a supermajority renewal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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