Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S) 89%
보수당(M) 5.5%
스웨덴민주당 (SD) 5.0%
녹색당(MP) <1%
$1,083,574 거래량
$1,083,574 거래량
2026.09.13
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S)
89%
보수당(M)
6%
스웨덴민주당 (SD)
5%
녹색당(MP)
1%
중도당 (C)
<1%
좌파당(V)
<1%
시민연합(MED)
<1%
기독민주당(KD)
<1%
자유당(L)
<1%
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S) 89%
보수당(M) 5.5%
스웨덴민주당 (SD) 5.0%
녹색당(MP) <1%
$1,083,574 거래량
$1,083,574 거래량
2026.09.13
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S)
$31,531 거래량
89%
보수당(M)
$377,117 거래량
6%
스웨덴민주당 (SD)
$509,179 거래량
5%
녹색당(MP)
$93,059 거래량
1%
중도당 (C)
$16,287 거래량
<1%
좌파당(V)
$14,584 거래량
<1%
시민연합(MED)
$13,288 거래량
<1%
기독민주당(KD)
$14,199 거래량
<1%
자유당(L)
$14,329 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
거래량
$1,083,574종료일
2026.09.13마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
거래량
$1,083,574종료일
2026.09.13마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문