Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no U.S. Congress member will resign, be expelled, or otherwise exit office over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the absence of fresh revelations implicating sitting lawmakers in the past month. Major document releases under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act occurred in late 2025 and early 2026, prompting resignations among executives like Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick and scrutiny of former Attorney General Pam Bondi in April, but no verified ties forced current House or Senate members from office amid ongoing ethics probes or partisan debates. Expulsion requires a supermajority vote, a high procedural bar unmet here. With two weeks remaining, only a late-breaking file dump, criminal charges, or swift House Ethics Committee action could shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability absent damning evidence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no U.S. Congress member will resign, be expelled, or otherwise exit office over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the absence of fresh revelations implicating sitting lawmakers in the past month. Major document releases under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act occurred in late 2025 and early 2026, prompting resignations among executives like Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick and scrutiny of former Attorney General Pam Bondi in April, but no verified ties forced current House or Senate members from office amid ongoing ethics probes or partisan debates. Expulsion requires a supermajority vote, a high procedural bar unmet here. With two weeks remaining, only a late-breaking file dump, criminal charges, or swift House Ethics Committee action could shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability absent damning evidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
거래량
$7,414종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no U.S. Congress member will resign, be expelled, or otherwise exit office over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the absence of fresh revelations implicating sitting lawmakers in the past month. Major document releases under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act occurred in late 2025 and early 2026, prompting resignations among executives like Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick and scrutiny of former Attorney General Pam Bondi in April, but no verified ties forced current House or Senate members from office amid ongoing ethics probes or partisan debates. Expulsion requires a supermajority vote, a high procedural bar unmet here. With two weeks remaining, only a late-breaking file dump, criminal charges, or swift House Ethics Committee action could shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability absent damning evidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7,414종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no U.S. Congress member will resign, be expelled, or otherwise exit office over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the absence of fresh revelations implicating sitting lawmakers in the past month. Major document releases under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act occurred in late 2025 and early 2026, prompting resignations among executives like Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick and scrutiny of former Attorney General Pam Bondi in April, but no verified ties forced current House or Senate members from office amid ongoing ethics probes or partisan debates. Expulsion requires a supermajority vote, a high procedural bar unmet here. With two weeks remaining, only a late-breaking file dump, criminal charges, or swift House Ethics Committee action could shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability absent damning evidence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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