Mounting bipartisan pressure for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's resignation or expulsion from her Florida 20th District US House seat has pushed trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability of her departure by May 31, driven by the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding her guilty on 25 violations, including laundering $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster aid into her campaign. A federal indictment in Miami reinforces the allegations, with Speaker Mike Johnson endorsing expulsion if she refuses to step down—as she has stated—and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna advancing a floor vote. An April 21 Ethics Committee hearing on sanctions looms, amid editorials and Democratic calls like Rep. Jim Himes urging her exit, though her trial delays to February 2027. Historical rarity of House expulsions tempers certainty, but procedural momentum favors resolution soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.31
신규
신규
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting bipartisan pressure for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's resignation or expulsion from her Florida 20th District US House seat has pushed trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability of her departure by May 31, driven by the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding her guilty on 25 violations, including laundering $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster aid into her campaign. A federal indictment in Miami reinforces the allegations, with Speaker Mike Johnson endorsing expulsion if she refuses to step down—as she has stated—and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna advancing a floor vote. An April 21 Ethics Committee hearing on sanctions looms, amid editorials and Democratic calls like Rep. Jim Himes urging her exit, though her trial delays to February 2027. Historical rarity of House expulsions tempers certainty, but procedural momentum favors resolution soon.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
거래량
$4,847종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting bipartisan pressure for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's resignation or expulsion from her Florida 20th District US House seat has pushed trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability of her departure by May 31, driven by the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding her guilty on 25 violations, including laundering $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster aid into her campaign. A federal indictment in Miami reinforces the allegations, with Speaker Mike Johnson endorsing expulsion if she refuses to step down—as she has stated—and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna advancing a floor vote. An April 21 Ethics Committee hearing on sanctions looms, amid editorials and Democratic calls like Rep. Jim Himes urging her exit, though her trial delays to February 2027. Historical rarity of House expulsions tempers certainty, but procedural momentum favors resolution soon.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,847종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mounting bipartisan pressure for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's resignation or expulsion from her Florida 20th District US House seat has pushed trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability of her departure by May 31, driven by the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding her guilty on 25 violations, including laundering $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster aid into her campaign. A federal indictment in Miami reinforces the allegations, with Speaker Mike Johnson endorsing expulsion if she refuses to step down—as she has stated—and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna advancing a floor vote. An April 21 Ethics Committee hearing on sanctions looms, amid editorials and Democratic calls like Rep. Jim Himes urging her exit, though her trial delays to February 2027. Historical rarity of House expulsions tempers certainty, but procedural momentum favors resolution soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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