Trader consensus favors centre-right councillor Simone Venturini at 53.5% to win Venice's mayoral race on May 24-25, driven by his continuity with outgoing Mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration and unified coalition backing from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia, which has governed since 2015. Recent March polls showed Venturini leading Andrea Martella 36%-30% in the first round, fueling optimism for an outright majority or strong runoff performance under Italy's two-round system for cities over 15,000 residents. Martella's broad centre-left alliance, including PD and M5S, trails amid opposition fragmentation, while economist Michele Boldrin garners niche support at 4.3%. Campaign list finalizations, like Lega's on April 11, signal momentum, though a tight contest persists ahead of potential June 7-8 ballottaggio.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
Simone Venturini
54%
Andrea Martella
38%
Michele Boldrin
4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
Simone Venturini
54%
Andrea Martella
38%
Michele Boldrin
4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors centre-right councillor Simone Venturini at 53.5% to win Venice's mayoral race on May 24-25, driven by his continuity with outgoing Mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration and unified coalition backing from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia, which has governed since 2015. Recent March polls showed Venturini leading Andrea Martella 36%-30% in the first round, fueling optimism for an outright majority or strong runoff performance under Italy's two-round system for cities over 15,000 residents. Martella's broad centre-left alliance, including PD and M5S, trails amid opposition fragmentation, while economist Michele Boldrin garners niche support at 4.3%. Campaign list finalizations, like Lega's on April 11, signal momentum, though a tight contest persists ahead of potential June 7-8 ballottaggio.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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