Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability as the center-right candidate backed by Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, UDC, and civic lists, positioned as the continuity choice from outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's decade-long administration. Recent polling from late February to March showed him ahead at around 36% versus Andrea Martella's 30% for the center-left coalition including PD and allies, setting up expectations of a first-round win on May 24-25 or dominance in a potential June runoff. In the past week, Venturini presented his candidate list on April 8 amid active campaigning on tourism and economy, while Martella launched a housing plan on April 13 and critiqued security proposals; centrist economist Michele Boldrin lags at 4.3% with limited coalition support. No major disruptions have altered the dynamic in the last 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
Simone Venturini
54%
Andrea Martella
38%
Michele Boldrin
4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
Simone Venturini
54%
Andrea Martella
38%
Michele Boldrin
4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability as the center-right candidate backed by Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, UDC, and civic lists, positioned as the continuity choice from outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's decade-long administration. Recent polling from late February to March showed him ahead at around 36% versus Andrea Martella's 30% for the center-left coalition including PD and allies, setting up expectations of a first-round win on May 24-25 or dominance in a potential June runoff. In the past week, Venturini presented his candidate list on April 8 amid active campaigning on tourism and economy, while Martella launched a housing plan on April 13 and critiqued security proposals; centrist economist Michele Boldrin lags at 4.3% with limited coalition support. No major disruptions have altered the dynamic in the last 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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