Russian forces seized most of the key Donetsk logistics hub Pokrovsk in late 2025 to early 2026 after months of intense fighting, though Ukrainian troops maintain positions in northern sectors and surrounding villages amid ongoing clashes. In the past week, Ukraine reported retaking 50 square kilometers near Pokrovsk using a new drone-infantry model, with advances east of Molodetske southwest of the city and entries into Rodynske, pressuring Russian supply lines along the M-30 highway. President Zelenskiy described the frontline as Ukraine's strongest in 10 months following a thwarted Russian March offensive. Traders eye Russia's spring push northwest toward Hryshyne, Ukrainian drone strikes disrupting assaults, and potential Western aid flows as pivotal for further escalation or stalemate in this contested direction.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$75,182 거래량
4월 30일
2%
$75,182 거래량
4월 30일
2%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Feb 19, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces seized most of the key Donetsk logistics hub Pokrovsk in late 2025 to early 2026 after months of intense fighting, though Ukrainian troops maintain positions in northern sectors and surrounding villages amid ongoing clashes. In the past week, Ukraine reported retaking 50 square kilometers near Pokrovsk using a new drone-infantry model, with advances east of Molodetske southwest of the city and entries into Rodynske, pressuring Russian supply lines along the M-30 highway. President Zelenskiy described the frontline as Ukraine's strongest in 10 months following a thwarted Russian March offensive. Traders eye Russia's spring push northwest toward Hryshyne, Ukrainian drone strikes disrupting assaults, and potential Western aid flows as pivotal for further escalation or stalemate in this contested direction.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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