A brief Orthodox Easter truce declared by Putin on April 9 lasted only 32 hours before collapsing under mutual accusations of violations, including Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions and over 2,000 reported Russian assaults. Prisoner swaps preceded the pause, but Kremlin statements prioritize a comprehensive peace deal with territorial concessions over temporary ceasefires, while Zelensky conditions halts on Russia's cessation of energy infrastructure attacks. Stalled Istanbul-format talks, paused amid regional tensions like Iran, show no revival, as Russian forces press eastern advances amid Ukrainian drone gains. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals in the next six weeks, traders price formidable barriers to resolution by May 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$451,831 거래량
$451,831 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$451,831 거래량
$451,831 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.A brief Orthodox Easter truce declared by Putin on April 9 lasted only 32 hours before collapsing under mutual accusations of violations, including Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions and over 2,000 reported Russian assaults. Prisoner swaps preceded the pause, but Kremlin statements prioritize a comprehensive peace deal with territorial concessions over temporary ceasefires, while Zelensky conditions halts on Russia's cessation of energy infrastructure attacks. Stalled Istanbul-format talks, paused amid regional tensions like Iran, show no revival, as Russian forces press eastern advances amid Ukrainian drone gains. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals in the next six weeks, traders price formidable barriers to resolution by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
거래량
$451,831종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.A brief Orthodox Easter truce declared by Putin on April 9 lasted only 32 hours before collapsing under mutual accusations of violations, including Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions and over 2,000 reported Russian assaults. Prisoner swaps preceded the pause, but Kremlin statements prioritize a comprehensive peace deal with territorial concessions over temporary ceasefires, while Zelensky conditions halts on Russia's cessation of energy infrastructure attacks. Stalled Istanbul-format talks, paused amid regional tensions like Iran, show no revival, as Russian forces press eastern advances amid Ukrainian drone gains. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals in the next six weeks, traders price formidable barriers to resolution by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
거래량
$451,831종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A brief Orthodox Easter truce declared by Putin on April 9 lasted only 32 hours before collapsing under mutual accusations of violations, including Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions and over 2,000 reported Russian assaults. Prisoner swaps preceded the pause, but Kremlin statements prioritize a comprehensive peace deal with territorial concessions over temporary ceasefires, while Zelensky conditions halts on Russia's cessation of energy infrastructure attacks. Stalled Istanbul-format talks, paused amid regional tensions like Iran, show no revival, as Russian forces press eastern advances amid Ukrainian drone gains. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals in the next six weeks, traders price formidable barriers to resolution by May 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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