President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$1,166,132 거래량
2026.03.31
February 28
No
March 31
No
April 30
No
$1,166,132 거래량
February 28
$327,021 거래량
No
March 31
$225,076 거래량
No
April 30
$614,036 거래량
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$1,166,132종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,166,132종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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