Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million House votes for the November 2026 midterms, reflecting elevated but uncertain participation. Democratic primary turnout has exceeded 2022 levels in most states, signaling stronger opposition mobilization amid low presidential approval and economic concerns, while Republican efforts center on a Trump-focused convention and targeted outreach to low-propensity voters. Expanded mail and early voting infrastructure, plus higher youth registration, provide a higher structural floor than older midterms. Limited competitive districts and mixed base enthusiasm on affordability issues keep totals from spiking further. Late GOTV intensity, weather, and any last-minute national events could shift final counts within the favored range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano125-130m 23%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 15%
$28,182 Wol.
$28,182 Wol.
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
7%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 15%
$28,182 Wol.
$28,182 Wol.
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
7%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million House votes for the November 2026 midterms, reflecting elevated but uncertain participation. Democratic primary turnout has exceeded 2022 levels in most states, signaling stronger opposition mobilization amid low presidential approval and economic concerns, while Republican efforts center on a Trump-focused convention and targeted outreach to low-propensity voters. Expanded mail and early voting infrastructure, plus higher youth registration, provide a higher structural floor than older midterms. Limited competitive districts and mixed base enthusiasm on affordability issues keep totals from spiking further. Late GOTV intensity, weather, and any last-minute national events could shift final counts within the favored range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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