Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218+ House seats and 50+ Senate seats post-2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by sustained Democratic leads of 4-7 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from YouGov/Economist, Rasmussen, and aggregates like Nate Silver's and RealClearPolling, signaling projected GOP House losses of 10-30 seats amid historical midterm backlash against the president's party. Senate odds favor Democrats despite Republicans defending a 53-47 majority, with competitive races in Georgia, North Carolina, Maine, and others bolstered by voter shifts in special elections and backlash to economic headwinds and Iran tensions. Primaries through summer and candidate quality in battlegrounds remain key catalysts for potential shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$34,201 Wol.
$34,201 Wol.
Nov 30, 2026
$34,201 Wol.
$34,201 Wol.
Nov 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218+ House seats and 50+ Senate seats post-2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by sustained Democratic leads of 4-7 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from YouGov/Economist, Rasmussen, and aggregates like Nate Silver's and RealClearPolling, signaling projected GOP House losses of 10-30 seats amid historical midterm backlash against the president's party. Senate odds favor Democrats despite Republicans defending a 53-47 majority, with competitive races in Georgia, North Carolina, Maine, and others bolstered by voter shifts in special elections and backlash to economic headwinds and Iran tensions. Primaries through summer and candidate quality in battlegrounds remain key catalysts for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,201Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218+ House seats and 50+ Senate seats post-2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by sustained Democratic leads of 4-7 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from YouGov/Economist, Rasmussen, and aggregates like Nate Silver's and RealClearPolling, signaling projected GOP House losses of 10-30 seats amid historical midterm backlash against the president's party. Senate odds favor Democrats despite Republicans defending a 53-47 majority, with competitive races in Georgia, North Carolina, Maine, and others bolstered by voter shifts in special elections and backlash to economic headwinds and Iran tensions. Primaries through summer and candidate quality in battlegrounds remain key catalysts for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Wolumen
$34,201Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats securing 218+ House seats and 50+ Senate seats post-2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by sustained Democratic leads of 4-7 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from YouGov/Economist, Rasmussen, and aggregates like Nate Silver's and RealClearPolling, signaling projected GOP House losses of 10-30 seats amid historical midterm backlash against the president's party. Senate odds favor Democrats despite Republicans defending a 53-47 majority, with competitive races in Georgia, North Carolina, Maine, and others bolstered by voter shifts in special elections and backlash to economic headwinds and Iran tensions. Primaries through summer and candidate quality in battlegrounds remain key catalysts for potential shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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