Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on April 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,768 Wol.
$60,768 Wol.
Apr 16, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,768 Wol.
$60,768 Wol.
Apr 16, 2026
79°F or below
$8,369 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$2,342 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$5,561 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$7,582 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$5,964 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$12,139 Wol.
Yes
90-91°F
$7,502 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$3,346 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$2,146 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$3,222 Wol.
No
98°F or higher
$2,597 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$60,768Data zakończenia
Apr 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$60,768Data zakończenia
Apr 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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