Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from regional models show the city under a moderating springtime high-pressure ridge with light onshore flow keeping afternoon temperatures in that narrow band. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover between runs create the near-even split between those two bins, while the 24% probability on 17°C or below reflects residual cool advection from a preceding frontal passage. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today’s outcome hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any late seabreeze strengthening before official maximum readings are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
18°C 33.2%
19°C 29%
17°C or below 23.1%
20°C 13%
$28,390 Wol.
$28,390 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
23%
18°C
33%
19°C
29%
20°C
13%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 33.2%
19°C 29%
17°C or below 23.1%
20°C 13%
$28,390 Wol.
$28,390 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
$3,304 Wol.
23%
18°C
$2,269 Wol.
33%
19°C
$2,023 Wol.
29%
20°C
$2,430 Wol.
13%
21°C
$3,241 Wol.
6%
22°C
$3,408 Wol.
2%
23°C
$4,019 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$3,742 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,512 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$282 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,160 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from regional models show the city under a moderating springtime high-pressure ridge with light onshore flow keeping afternoon temperatures in that narrow band. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover between runs create the near-even split between those two bins, while the 24% probability on 17°C or below reflects residual cool advection from a preceding frontal passage. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today’s outcome hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any late seabreeze strengthening before official maximum readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,390Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from regional models show the city under a moderating springtime high-pressure ridge with light onshore flow keeping afternoon temperatures in that narrow band. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover between runs create the near-even split between those two bins, while the 24% probability on 17°C or below reflects residual cool advection from a preceding frontal passage. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today’s outcome hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any late seabreeze strengthening before official maximum readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$28,390Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from regional models show the city under a moderating springtime high-pressure ridge with light onshore flow keeping afternoon temperatures in that narrow band. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover between runs create the near-even split between those two bins, while the 24% probability on 17°C or below reflects residual cool advection from a preceding frontal passage. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today’s outcome hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any late seabreeze strengthening before official maximum readings are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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