Late-summer atmospheric conditions over northern China, with the subtropical high still exerting influence and limited cold-air intrusions, keep Jinan’s daily maximum firmly in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance for 27 August consistently project highs of 28–32 °C, even with scattered thunderstorms that may briefly suppress readings but will not prevent afternoon recovery above 26 °C. This aligns with climatological August averages near 30 °C and recent observational trends showing only modest cooling after peak-heat days. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher therefore reflects strong model consensus and historical precedent; the only realistic challenges would involve an unexpectedly vigorous frontal passage or localized measurement anomalies at the official station, both considered low-probability events on this date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,028 Wol.
$10,028 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,028 Wol.
$10,028 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late-summer atmospheric conditions over northern China, with the subtropical high still exerting influence and limited cold-air intrusions, keep Jinan’s daily maximum firmly in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance for 27 August consistently project highs of 28–32 °C, even with scattered thunderstorms that may briefly suppress readings but will not prevent afternoon recovery above 26 °C. This aligns with climatological August averages near 30 °C and recent observational trends showing only modest cooling after peak-heat days. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher therefore reflects strong model consensus and historical precedent; the only realistic challenges would involve an unexpectedly vigorous frontal passage or localized measurement anomalies at the official station, both considered low-probability events on this date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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