Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 25?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,296 Wol.
$20,296 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,296 Wol.
$20,296 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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