Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (32.5% implied probability) and 50-51°F (32.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 20, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models, which show highs clustered in the low 50s°F amid a cool upper-level trough and potential low-level clouds from lingering moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Recent National Weather Service discussions note above-normal temperatures through April 17-18 giving way to cooler northerly winds and patchy rain risks on April 19, tempering mixing in the planetary boundary layer. Climatological April highs average 59°F at Central Park, but spring variability—driven by jet stream positioning—supports this tight range; watch overnight model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on April 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 20?
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 30%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 20, 2026
45°F or below
3%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 30%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 20, 2026
45°F or below
$435 Wol.
3%
46-47°F
$45 Wol.
6%
48-49°F
$22 Wol.
18%
50-51°F
$93 Wol.
31%
52-53°F
$130 Wol.
30%
54-55°F
$153 Wol.
16%
56-57°F
$319 Wol.
5%
58-59°F
$218 Wol.
4%
60-61°F
$337 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$268 Wol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$191 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (32.5% implied probability) and 50-51°F (32.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 20, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models, which show highs clustered in the low 50s°F amid a cool upper-level trough and potential low-level clouds from lingering moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Recent National Weather Service discussions note above-normal temperatures through April 17-18 giving way to cooler northerly winds and patchy rain risks on April 19, tempering mixing in the planetary boundary layer. Climatological April highs average 59°F at Central Park, but spring variability—driven by jet stream positioning—supports this tight range; watch overnight model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,140Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (32.5% implied probability) and 50-51°F (32.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 20, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models, which show highs clustered in the low 50s°F amid a cool upper-level trough and potential low-level clouds from lingering moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Recent National Weather Service discussions note above-normal temperatures through April 17-18 giving way to cooler northerly winds and patchy rain risks on April 19, tempering mixing in the planetary boundary layer. Climatological April highs average 59°F at Central Park, but spring variability—driven by jet stream positioning—supports this tight range; watch overnight model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,140Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (32.5% implied probability) and 50-51°F (32.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 20, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models, which show highs clustered in the low 50s°F amid a cool upper-level trough and potential low-level clouds from lingering moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Recent National Weather Service discussions note above-normal temperatures through April 17-18 giving way to cooler northerly winds and patchy rain risks on April 19, tempering mixing in the planetary boundary layer. Climatological April highs average 59°F at Central Park, but spring variability—driven by jet stream positioning—supports this tight range; watch overnight model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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