Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 Wol.
$32,742 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 Wol.
$32,742 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
$1,134 Wol.
No
23°C
$930 Wol.
No
24°C
$838 Wol.
No
25°C
$799 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,226 Wol.
No
27°C
$11,236 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,285 Wol.
No
29°C
$4,224 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,550 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,952 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,569 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,742Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$32,742Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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