Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 14 likely falling between 29–31°C, driven by the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea’s sea breezes and possible light rain or cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These outcomes command the highest market-implied odds because models show subtle differences in the strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and local wind patterns, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C. Coastal humidity and urban heat island effects add further variability, while historical August averages near 28–30°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and official updates, recognizing that small changes in steering flows or precipitation timing could resolve the close probabilities among these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 14?
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
12%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
3%
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$17 Wol.
1%
27°C
$5 Wol.
3%
28°C
$2 Wol.
10%
29°C
$0 Wol.
17%
30°C
$50 Wol.
28%
31°C
$22 Wol.
24%
32°C
$12 Wol.
16%
33°C
$20 Wol.
12%
34°C
$27 Wol.
15%
35°C
$22 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$12 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 14 likely falling between 29–31°C, driven by the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea’s sea breezes and possible light rain or cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These outcomes command the highest market-implied odds because models show subtle differences in the strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and local wind patterns, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C. Coastal humidity and urban heat island effects add further variability, while historical August averages near 28–30°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and official updates, recognizing that small changes in steering flows or precipitation timing could resolve the close probabilities among these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$189Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 14 likely falling between 29–31°C, driven by the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea’s sea breezes and possible light rain or cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These outcomes command the highest market-implied odds because models show subtle differences in the strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and local wind patterns, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C. Coastal humidity and urban heat island effects add further variability, while historical August averages near 28–30°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and official updates, recognizing that small changes in steering flows or precipitation timing could resolve the close probabilities among these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$189Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Qingdao on August 14 likely falling between 29–31°C, driven by the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea’s sea breezes and possible light rain or cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These outcomes command the highest market-implied odds because models show subtle differences in the strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and local wind patterns, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C. Coastal humidity and urban heat island effects add further variability, while historical August averages near 28–30°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and official updates, recognizing that small changes in steering flows or precipitation timing could resolve the close probabilities among these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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