Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$228,344 Wol.
$228,344 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$228,344 Wol.
$228,344 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
12°C or below
$23,430 Wol.
No
13°C
$61,262 Wol.
Yes
14°C
$43,470 Wol.
No
15°C
$19,278 Wol.
No
16°C
$19,616 Wol.
No
17°C
$19,677 Wol.
No
18°C
$5,415 Wol.
No
19°C
$8,681 Wol.
No
20°C
$5,586 Wol.
No
21°C
$5,994 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$15,934 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Wolumen
$228,344Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$228,344Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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