Recent forecast guidance from agencies like MetService and international models points to a southerly wind shift arriving around September 6, replacing warmer northwesterlies with cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover plus light rain chances. This pattern typically caps daytime maxima near 14–16°C in Wellington, consistent with historical September variability where southerly changes suppress temperatures below seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Updated model runs showing 40–80% precipitation probability and gusty conditions reinforce the market-implied odds favoring 15°C, while lower probabilities for 17°C or above reflect limited warming potential before the front passes. Traders monitor the next official briefing for any model consensus shifts on peak timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
15°C 52%
16°C 36%
14°C 15%
13°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
52%
16°C
36%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
4%
15°C 52%
16°C 36%
14°C 15%
13°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
10°C
$0 Wol.
2%
11°C
$5 Wol.
2%
12°C
$0 Wol.
4%
13°C
$0 Wol.
6%
14°C
$259 Wol.
15%
15°C
$76 Wol.
52%
16°C
$331 Wol.
36%
17°C
$0 Wol.
6%
18°C
$0 Wol.
4%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like MetService and international models points to a southerly wind shift arriving around September 6, replacing warmer northwesterlies with cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover plus light rain chances. This pattern typically caps daytime maxima near 14–16°C in Wellington, consistent with historical September variability where southerly changes suppress temperatures below seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Updated model runs showing 40–80% precipitation probability and gusty conditions reinforce the market-implied odds favoring 15°C, while lower probabilities for 17°C or above reflect limited warming potential before the front passes. Traders monitor the next official briefing for any model consensus shifts on peak timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$671Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like MetService and international models points to a southerly wind shift arriving around September 6, replacing warmer northwesterlies with cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover plus light rain chances. This pattern typically caps daytime maxima near 14–16°C in Wellington, consistent with historical September variability where southerly changes suppress temperatures below seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Updated model runs showing 40–80% precipitation probability and gusty conditions reinforce the market-implied odds favoring 15°C, while lower probabilities for 17°C or above reflect limited warming potential before the front passes. Traders monitor the next official briefing for any model consensus shifts on peak timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$671Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies like MetService and international models points to a southerly wind shift arriving around September 6, replacing warmer northwesterlies with cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover plus light rain chances. This pattern typically caps daytime maxima near 14–16°C in Wellington, consistent with historical September variability where southerly changes suppress temperatures below seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Updated model runs showing 40–80% precipitation probability and gusty conditions reinforce the market-implied odds favoring 15°C, while lower probabilities for 17°C or above reflect limited warming potential before the front passes. Traders monitor the next official briefing for any model consensus shifts on peak timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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